T.M. Selection: EAGLES - ATS

1) Small line here but I will take the +1.5 points with the Eagles in case they lose a heartbreaker by a single point. The underdog is on an incredible 17-6 ATS run in the last 23 Super Bowls.

2) The Chiefs offense has not been as strong all season long and they face a top-ranked Eagles defense here. This match-up favors Philadelphia when Kansas City has the ball.   

3) The Kansas City defense has not been as strong against the pass and that is where Philadelphia should take advantage. Saquon Barkley gives the Eagles an edge on the ground and with KC having to focus on him, Jalen Hurts will get plenty of opportunity in the passing game. Off a huge win over Washington in the NFC Championship Game, the offense of the Eagles flourishes again here. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 EAGLES

Line: +1.5 

T.M. Selection: PENN STATE - ATS

1) I like the Nittany Lions to get the solid underdog cover in this game against the Fighting Irish on Thursday, January 9th. The line looks like a trap line to take the team with the better 11-3 ATS record laying only 1.5 points even though they just beat Georgia and are facing an 8-7 ATS team. As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Irish are now 13-1 this season but statistically I have concerns about what this offense will be able to do against a stout Penn State defense. Though Notre Dame beat Georgia, the stats were not good and they made the most of other opportunities to secure that win. They did not impress on offense and face just as tough of a test here.    

3) Penn State has the better offense here in my opinion and is very balanced on offense. The Nittany Lions defense also has been very opportunistic. Notre Dame has been a cash cow this season so the markets are enamored with them and supporting them. The Fighting Irish, however, have met their match here and I look for Allar to lead the way at QB for the Lions to pull away in crunch-time of this game.  

T.M. Prediction: 27-20 PENN STATE

Line: +1.5

T.M. Selection: VIKINGS - ATS 1) I like the Vikings to get the solid road dog cover in this game against the Lions on Sunday, January 5th. The line looks like a trap line to take the home team laying only 2.5 or 3 points even though they are a perfect 5-0 in divisional games this season and this is a huge battle for the NFC North as well as the top NFC seed for the post-season. As for the trap line, I am not falling for it! 2) Detroit has been ravaged by injuries on defense and they will not be able to stop the Vikings. The Lions have still been winning games, thanks to a potent offense, but their defense against the pass will let them down again here. Minnesota's passing attack has been on a strong performance streak and that continues here. 3) Minnesota has thrown for nearly 300 yards passing on average last 4 games while the Lions have allowed an average of over 320 yards passing last 4 games. The Vikings allowing only 18 ppg in their 9-game winning streak. The Lions allowing 32.5 ppg last 4 games. With stats like that, you can clearly see why I am confident in this investment Thursday. Upset alert! T.M. Prediction: 31-24 VIKINGS Line: +3

T.M. Selection: Minnesota Golden Gophers - ATS

1) I like the Golden Gophers to get the solid win in this game against the Hokies on Friday, Januay 3rd. The line looks like a trap line to take the team with the nearly identical record as 6-6 Virginia Tech is nearly a double digit underdog (currently 8.5 to 9.5) against Minnesota and I am not falling for the trap line! Lay the big points here. 

2) Virginia Tech facing a tough match-up here as they have a lot of opt-outs and will be missing many starters on both sides of the ball. The Hokies struggled overall this season as it was and now will be very short-handed against a Golden Gophers team that is known for dominating in Bowl Season. 

3) PJ Fleck, head coach of Minnesota, has great bowl history and has led his team to 5 straight bowl wins. The Golden Gophers roster is mostly intact for this bowl game and in far better shape roster-wise in comparison with a depleted Hokies side. Virginia Tech has big question marks at QB and the offensive line is a shell of what it once was and the Hokies also will be without their top RB. Also the Hokies defense has been decimated by the transfer portal. The Gophers average margin of victory in their 7 wins was 19.6 ppg this season! The Hokies get blown out here. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-12 Minnesota.

Line: -8.5

T.M. Selection: LIONS - ATS

1) I like the Lions to get the solid blowout win in this game against the 49ers on Monday, December 30th. The line looks like a trap line to take underdog catching a little more than a FG in a match-up featuring a team (Detroit) that is so banged up in the injury department. However, I am not falling for it!

2) The 49ers have had a lost season and Lions still ultra hungry for the win as they look to keep pace with Vikings at top of NFC North. Even with injuries, Detroit continues to win. I look for that pattern to continue here. Last season the Lions led by 17 at the half in the playoffs yet San Francisco rallied and got the win. That means Detroit will surely be relentless here.   

3) The Lions have still scored 37 ppg last 3 games and remain one of the best teams in league, even while dealing with injuries. The Niners have lost 5 of 6 games and scored an average of only 12 points per game in the 5 losses. This one will be all Lions and Detroit rolls on the road. Line value here because the game is in SF and I am not even batting an eyelash as I pull the trigger with Detroit on the road here.     

T.M. Prediction: 31-20 LIONS

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: DOLPHINS - ATS

1) I like the Dolphins to get the solid blowout win in this game against the Browns on Sunday, December 29th. The line looks like a trap line to take underdog catching a FG in a match-up featuring a team that likely will be without its starting QB and I am not falling for it!

2) Even though Tagovailoa has been downgraded to doubtful for this game, Huntley will still be the best QB on the field as the Browns QB situation has been a disaster in what has been another rough season for Cleveland. The Browns expected to again go with Dorian Thompson-Robinson here even though he is off a very rough performance against a horrible Bengals defense.   

3) Miami's defense will be a much tougher test for the struggling Browns offense than the Cincinnati D was. That said, with the Dolphins having playoff chances, though slim, I do not foresee any quit in this Miami team Sunday. Dolphins known for struggling in cold weather but they got a break with mild weather conditions for this one Sunday and their defense has been solid and the Browns just won't have enough offense to keep up in this low-scoring battle.     

T.M. Prediction: 24-10 DOLPHINS

Line: -3

T.M. Selection: Army.

I believe Army will not only win this game easily, but do so in blowout fashion. Louisiana Tech finished only 5-7 on the season and is in a very unusual situation here! The Bulldogs got recruited into this bowl on short notice because Marshall was so heavily hit in the transfer portal that the Thundering Herd could not even properly compete in this game. I am not so sure Louisiana Tech is going to have much more success than Marshall would have had considering their situation. The Bulldogs thought their season was over and then suddenly got called to this game and they have to, on short notice, figure out how they will defend the triple option of Army. That is not something Louisiana Tech is used to facing. So Army is in top form and ready to roll here too and they have a great defense. Almost all of the Black Knights wins have been by at least 17 points this season. The Bulldogs did perform well as an underdog this season but this is a very tough match-up for them and I am sure they want to make up for that loss to Navy by winning big in this bowl game. Louisiana Tech finished the season with a big win over Kennesaw State but scored 14 or less points in 4 of 5 games before that and their D also will not be able to stop Army. Look for the Black Knights to keep their foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points.

T.M. Prediction: 35-10 Army

T.M. Selection: USC TROJANS - ATS

1) I like the Trojans to get the solid underdog cover in this game against the Aggies on Friday, December 27th. The line looks like a trap line to take Texas A & M laying only 4.5 or 4 points even though they are facing a team that has a had a lot of opt-outs heading into this post-season battle. As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Aggies defense got ripped down the stretch including allowing over 470 ypg in their last 3 games against SEC teams. The Texas A & M defense also dealing with some key opt-outs and the Trojans offense surely will take advantage. 

3) The USC offense, even dealing with opt-outs, is still a strong machine. They put up over 550 yards of offense when they faced Notre Dame and that says a lot for sure! Southern Cal outgained ND by over 100 yards in that 49-35 loss. This Trojans team better than their 6-6 records shows while the Aggies, though 8-4, got waxed by double digits 3 times this season including when they got outgained by more than 100 yards by the Fighting Irish. I don't trust this Aggies team. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-24 USC

Line: +4.5 

T.M. Selection: BEARS - ATS

1) I like the Bears to get the solid home dog cover in this game against the Seahawks on Thursday, December 26th. The line looks like a trap line to take the road team laying only 4.5 or 4 points even though they are visiting a team that has been in a freefall whereas they themselves are still battling for the post-season. As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) Seattle struggles with their ground game on offense and their rush defense on the other side of the ball. The Seahawks have lost B2B games and are allowing 24 ppg in the last 4 games. The Bears defense has struggled recently but they are capable of stepping up here in their home finale and remember that they are 4-4 at home this season. 

3) Chicago has been awful on the road this season but, as you can see with the 4-4 record, they are very capable of stepping up at home here. Seattle has only 3 wins by more than 5 points in their last 12 games! With stats like that, you can clearly see why I am confident in this investment Thursday. Upset alert!

T.M. Prediction: 23-20 BEARS

Line: +4.5 

T.M. Selection: Penn State Nittany Lions - ATS

1) I like the Nittany Lions to get the solid win in this game against the Mustangs on Saturday, December 21st. The line looks like a trap line to take the team with the identical record as nearly a double digit underdog (currently 8.5 to 9.5) and I am not falling for it!

2) SMU facing a tough match-up here on the road in cold weather against a PSU side that can run the ball so well and is known for fantastic defense. The Mustangs were down by 17 to Clemson before rallying and they won't be able to make that same type of comeback in this venue! . 

3) Penn State was truly so close to a perfect season as they blew an early 10-0 lead versus Ohio State and also very nearly beat Oregon in a high-scoring shootout. The Nittany Lions so strong in the trenches and this is not a good match-up for the Mustangs. Penn State can play with (and win with) old Big Ten style football here. Their defense will frustrate SMU and the Mustangs will not be able to trade scores with the potent Nittany Lions here in their own home.    

T.M. Prediction: 37-17 Penn State.

Line: -8.5

T.M. Selection: Florida Gators - ATS

1) I like the Gators to get the solid win in this game against the Green Wave on Friday, December 20th. The line looks like a trap line to take the team with the better record as a double digit underdog (currently 10 to 10.5) and I am not falling for it!

2) Tulane struggled late in the season and there is a certain negative energy within this team right now. Florida, on the other hand, finished the season strong and I love the fact the Gators faced the much tougher schedule this season in comparison with the Green Wave. 

3) Tulane has lost two straight games and has given up at least 34 points in all 4 of their defeats this season. The Gators roll here as they are so strong at the defensive line and Tulane is going to struggle to run the ball here. The Green Wave offense just won't have enough punch here and Florida will have too much for Tulane to keep up in this one. The Gators have won 3 straight games and 4 of their 5 losses were to ranked teams this season and the other defeat was to a solid A & M team. Florida allowed only 16 ppg in their 7 wins and can dominate here.     

T.M. Prediction: 35-14 Florida.

Line: -10

T.M. Selection: BRONCOS - ATS

1) I like the Broncos to get the solid road dog cover in this game against the Chargers on Thursday, December 19th. The line looks like a trap line to take the home team laying only 2.5 or 3 points even though they are hosting a team they already beat handily earlier this season (had 23-0 lead before letting up and Chargers scored final 16 pionts). As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Chargers have been struggling on both sides of the ball recently as their pass defense has started to let them down. On offense they have averaged less than 250 yards of offense last four games.    

3) The Broncos have a great pass rush and this should further disrupt an already struggling Chargers offense. Denver has won 8 of 11 games and has scored an average of 27 points last 9 games. Los Angeles has been held to 27 or less in 13 of 14 games this season! With stats like that, you can clearly see why I am confident in this investment Thursday. Upset alert!

T.M. Prediction: 23-20 BRONCOS

Line: +3 -125

T.M. Selection: CLEMSON - ATS

1) I like the Tigers to get the solid underdog cover in this game against the Mustangs on Saturday, December 7th. The line looks like a trap line to take the team with the better record laying only 2.5 points even though they are 11-1 and facing a 9-3 team. As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Mustangs are now 11-1 this season but the location of this game favors the Tigers. Also, Clemson has much more experience in big games and has won 8 of 9 visits to the ACC Title game! Also Clemson actually won the yardage battle by almost 100 yards in their only ACC loss this season so that was a deceiving final score.    

3) SMU was also a bit fortunate in who they faced in terms of their ACC scheduling this season. That certainly helped the Mustangs get to their impressive record on the year and now you will see many lining up on SMU, with the better record, over Clemson but the Tigers experience edge will shine through as this game gets to late-game crunch time. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-24 CLEMSON

Line: +2.5

T.M. Selection: PACKERS - ATS

1) I like the Packers to get the solid road dog cover in this game against the Lions on Thursday, December 5th. The line looks like a trap line to take the home team laying only 3.5 points even though they are 11-1 and hosting a 9-3 team. As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Lions are now 11-1 this season but only 1 of their 3 divisional games was a win by more than 3 points so look for the Packers to be in this one all the way! Also, that lone bigger divisional win was against Green Bay but Detroit actually lost the yardage battle by 150 yards in that deceiving final score of 24-14.    

3) The Packers offense is surging plus QB Jordan Love has done a great job of limiting turnovers. Green Bay's only loss by more than 2 points in the last 11 games was that deceiving 10-point home loss to the Lions. GB allowing only 19 ppg last 8 games. Again, another reason to expect this one to be a very tight game with the points a huge value to have on your side! Upset alert! 

T.M. Prediction: 28-24 PACKERS

Line: +3.5

T.M. Selection: Denver Broncos - ATS

1) I like the Broncos to get the solid win in this game against the Browns on Monday, December 2nd. This is an interesting line considering Denver is a sizable favorite even though Cleveland just knocked off a strong Pittsburgh team and appears to be improving with Winston under center. The line looks like an invitation to grab the road dog getting nearly a TD but I am not falling for the trap line. 

2) The Browns are only 3-8 this season and the 3 wins have included only 1 road win and that was against a Jacksonville team that is now 2-10 this season! 6 of Cleveland's 8 losses this season have been by at least 6 points so I am comfortable laying this number here. Denver is 7-3 last 10 games and the only home loss was to a Chargers team that is now 8-4 this season.    

3) As you can see, Denver is taking care of business against teams with a losing record and Cleveland has not shown an ability to go on the road and beat a good team. 6 of the 7 Broncos wins in their 7-3 run have been by 10+ points! Looking at season-long stats, Denver has the better offense and also has the much better defense. Lay the points here with confidence!  

T.M. Prediction: 28-14 Denver 

Line: -5.5

T.M. Selection: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - ATS

1) I like the Buccaneers to get the solid win in this game against the Panthers on Sunday, December 1st. This is an interesting line considering Tampa Bay is a sizable favorite even though this game is taking place in Carolina! The line looks like an invitation to grab the home dog getting nearly a TD but I am not falling for the trap line as the Bucs recent 4-game losing streak, prior to beating the Giants, featured a slate of quality teams and that makes all the difference here. 

2) The Panthers are only 3-8 this season and the 3 wins are against all bad teams - combined 8-27 record! Carolina is highly unlikely to be able to score enough to keep up with a Bucs team that has been surging on offense. Tampa Bay has scored 30.6 ppg last 8 games! The Buccaneers went 3-5 in those games but 2 of the losses in OT and 3 of the losses were against division leaders and another one against an 8-4 Ravens team!      

3) Carolina off a tight loss to Chiefs which was a surprise but Young averaged just 148.5 passing yards in the 2 wins prior to that loss. The Panthers, other than the game in Germany versus Giants, are allowing 32.3 ppg this season. Carolina will not be able to stop TB and the Bucs off that win over NYG in which they allowed only 7 points! They are confident and ready to dominate here against a Carolina team that is now over-valued in this spot. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-17 Tampa Bay 

Line: -5.5

T.M. Selection: Texas - ATS

1) I like the Longhorns to get the solid win in this game against the Aggies on Saturday, November 30th. This is an interesting line considering Texas is a large favorite even though this games is taking place in Aggieland! The line looks like an invitation to grab the home dog getting nearly a TD but I am not falling for the trap line as the Horns have the better defense and the much stronger passing attack on offense which makes all the difference here. 

2) Texas A & M off a heart-breaking 4-OT loss at Auburn last week and a game like that takes a lot out of a team! Also, the Aggies lost their most recent SEC game prior to that one as well as they got hammered by 24 points in a loss at South Carolina! The Longhorns are the stronger team all over the field in this one.    

3) Texas is 10-1 this season after a massive season last year too. This program is in great shape right now and their only loss was to a tough Georgia team. In fact, the winner of this game will face the Bulldogs for the SEC Championship next week so today's game is huge! I am all over the Longhorns here and 9 of the 10 Longhorns wins have come by a double digit margin this season. In other words, covering the spread in a UT win should not be an issue here with this low number.

T.M. Prediction: 31-17 Texas

Line: -5

T.M. Selection: Georgia Tech - ATS

1) I like Georgia Tech to stay within the huge number posted here in this game against Georgia on Friday, November 29th. The line looks like a trap line to take the Bulldogs considering the Yellow Jackets already have twice as many losses as Georgia this season. The Bulldogs have the better defense but the Jackets have, statistically, nearly and equal offense and they are being underestimated here. The fac tis that it is still just too many points and, in terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) In terms of ATS stats, Georgia is a rough 3-8 ATS this season plus they are 0-6 ATS when favored by 14 or more plus Georgia Tech has covered all but 3 of last 11 against ranked opponents. The Yellow Jackets have a strong offense and regardless of what they might be saying, the Bulldogs can't help but to be thinking ahead to the big game with the SEC Title Game next week. 

3) Georgia Tech is well-coached under Key plus they have covered each of the last two meetings including very easily last year as a big dog in this match-up. They lost by only 8 points and a similar result looms here the way I have this one handicapped. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-21 Georgia

Line: +18

T.M. Selection: Memphis - ATS

1) I like Memphis to stay within the huge number posted here in this game against Tulane on Thursday, November 28th. The line looks like a trap line to take the Green Wave considering the Tigers already have 2 losses in AAC games while Tulane is undefeated and will play Army next week in the AAC Championship Game. Green Wave has the better defense but Memphis is being underestimated here. The fac tis that it is still just too many points and, in terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) In  terms of ATS stats, Tulane has been much better in AAC games but this is why there is so much value here because Memphis is undervalued due to their 2-5 ATS mark in AAC games while Tulane is 8-2-1 ATS on the season. The Tigers have a strong offense and regardless of what they might be saying, the Green Wave can't help but to be thinking ahead to the big game with the Black Knights next week. 

3)  The Green Wave also may have a lack of typical home field edge here as the students go home for Thanksgiving Day and there may not be the typical fan support Tulane would hope for here. They are off 3 straight dominating wins but his has inflated this line against a very talented Memphis team with a strong QB who already has 4 seasons as a starter under his belt. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-24 Tulane

Line: +14

T.M. Selection: Kent State - ATS

1) I like Kent State to stay within the huge number posted here in this game against Buffalo on Tuesday, November 26th. The line looks like a trap line to take Buffalo considering the Golden Flashes are winless on the season while the Bulls are having a solid season and already have a 7th win for bowl eligibility. It is still just too many points and, in terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Golden Flashes gained some confidence on offense last week as they scored 17 points and Ulatowski was back under center and had his biggest yardage game since the middle of October. The Bulls defense, especially against the pass, has not been good so Kent State will get points here! 

3) The Bulls won by 17 last week and do only 1 win in 11 games on the season that came by a m margin of greater than 17 points. Look for Buffalo to get a big win here but then start resting players and look for the Bulls struggles on pass defense to continue. As a result this game will be closer than expected and Kent State finishes the season winless SU but does get the ATS cover. Buffalo over-priced!   

T.M. Prediction: 28-19 Buffalo

Line: +22.5

T.M. Selection: Miami Dolphins - ATS

1) I like the Dolphins to get the solid home win in this game against the Patriots on Sunday, November 24th. The line looks like a trap line to take the road team as a big underdog (currently 7 to 7.5) considering Miami has only one more win than New England. I am not falling for it!

2) Miami has been a different team since QB Tagovailoa has come back and this offense is humming again. The Patriots defense has regressed this season and the offense does not have enough firepower to keep with Tua and the Dolphins in this one! 

3) The Dolphins have won B2B games plus scored 28 ppg last 4 games! The Patriots have lost 8 of 10 games since their season opening win and their victories this season are against teams with an 11-21 record. One can argue the Dolphins record is not good either but again they were without Tagovailoa much of the season. They are back to being the Miami of old again and they crush the Patriots down in south Florida for this one! Big home edge and the line could easily be double digits here. I am grabbing the value.     

T.M. Prediction: 31-16 Dolphins.

Line: -7

T.M. Selection: SMU Mustangs - ATS

1) I like the Mustangs to get the solid win in this game against the Cavaliers on Saturday, November 23rd. The line looks like a trap line to take the home team as a double digit underdog (currently 10 to 10.5) and I am not falling for it!

2) SMU just needs to win out to make it to the CFB playoffs and their only loss this season was by 3 points to a tough BYU team. The yardage was equal in that game until the Cougars got what ended up being the game-winning FG courtesy of a 67-yard drive! The Mustangs, as you can see, are very nearly undefeated this season! 6 of 8 SMU wins since a tight season-opening win have been by at least a 10 point margin. 

3) Virginia has lost 4 of 5 games and has given up an average of 41 points in the last 3 defeats. The Cavaliers have lost 3 of 4 home games since a season-opening win and 2 of the 3 defeats were blowout losses. I expect another blowout defeat by 10+ in this one. Road team rolls here as the Mustangs have too much offense for the Cavs to keep up and they also have the better defense. SMU adds to their 5-2 ATS run and make it 6-2 ATS last 8 games!    

T.M. Prediction: 38-17 SMU.

Line: -10

T.M. Selection: Purdue - ATS

1) I like Purdue to stay within single digits in this game against Michigan State on Friday, November 22nd. The line looks like a trap line to take the Spartans considering the Boilermakers are the worst team in the Big Ten and Michigan State still needs two wins for bowl eligibility. It is still just too many points and, in terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Boilermakers will bring their top effort this week in response to having two of their worst defeats of the season in B2B weeks against two of the top teams in the country. Purdue will fare much better against a much weaker foe here and it is going to be tough for the Spartans to pull away in this one! 

3) In their last two games against teams not ranked in the top five in the country, the Boilermakrs have a pair of OT losses and I project this one to be a tight battle. The Spartans have lost 6 of 7 games and their 3 wins against non-FCS schools (so, excluding Prairie View A & M) have been by an average margin of just 7 points. None of those 3 wins were by more than 12 points. Michigan State over-priced!   

T.M. Prediction: 26-21 Michigan State

Line: +14

T.M. Selection: 49ERS - ATS

1) I like the 49ers to get the solid blowout win in this game against the Seahawks on Sunday, November 17th. The line looks like a trap line to take underdog catching nearly a full TD in a match-up featuring teams battling it out for positioning in the NFC West and I am not falling for it!

2) The Seahawks are off a bye week but they need more help than just that! The Seahawks have lost 4 of 5 games and now are on the road facing a 49ers team that is on the upswing again. San Francisco has won 4 of 6 games and did have a bye the week before last so it is not as if Seattle has a big rest edge here.    

3) San Francisco has the much better rushing attack on offense so, while both teams have strong passing attacks, the ground game edge is with the home team here. That is key in a divisional game too! On the other side of the ball, SF has an edge on defense as they are better against the pass and much stronger than Seattle in terms of rushing defense as well. Blowout alert here!    

T.M. Prediction: 31-17 49ERS

Line: -6.5

T.M. Selection: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS - ATS 

This is just too many points for this match-up. The Lions off the hard-fought (and somewhat fortunate) win at Houston and now face a Jaguars team that is counting on being stronger defensively due to the issues on offense. I trust their defense here as they just allowed only 12 points in the loss to Minnesota last week. The Jaguars will go all out here, without question, as they do have a bye week on deck. The Lions off B2B big road wins by knocking off the division rival Packers and then the Texans and now they have a tougher opponent than the Jags on deck as next week the Lions are at Indianapolis. Jaguars, in 10 games this season, have only 2 losses by more than 5 points! Over-reaction to Lions winning ways here! This one has great value, the way I see it, with the road dog. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Lions. 

Line: +14

T.M. Selection: Utah - ATS

1) I like Utah to stay within single digits in this game against Colorado on Saturday, November 16th. The line looks like a trap line to take the Buffaloes considering the recent struggles of the Utes and the red hot run of the Buffs and I am not falling for it!

2) This line got steamed when it was lower (single digits) because of the reaction to Colorado being on a 7-0 ATS run while Utah is on an 0-5 SU run plus, before tight cover vs BYU last week, the Utes were on an 0-4 ATS run. Utah will be fired up after last week's frustrating late-game loss to the rival Cougars. The Utes will bring their top effort this week in response and it is going to be tough for the Buffaloes to pull away in this one! 

3) The Utes have lost 5 straight games after starting the season 4-0 but the 5 straight losses by an average margin of only 6 points! None of the Utah defeats by more than 13 points! The Buffaloes should have won last week just 34-27 and, prior to that, only 3 of Colorado's first 8 games were wins by more than an 11-point margin. This game is going to be a war because the Utes are fired up and fighting for bowl eligibility (need 2 wins in 3 remaining games). Colorado over-priced!   

T.M. Prediction: 24-20 Colorado

Line: +13.5

T.M. Selection: Colorado State Rams - ATS

1) I like the Rams to get the solid win in this game against the Cowboys on Friday, November 15th. The line looks like a trap line to take the road team as a big underdog (opened up at 10.5) and I am not falling for it!

2) Colorado State has been rolling and is so strong on defense in comparison with a horrible Cowboys defense. Wyoming is a big step down defensively from the program they have been in recent seasons. The Rams are the stronger team and the Cowboys are off some impressive performances on offense since they made a QB switch. However, their offense was great because they faced two horrible defenses, New Mexico and Utah State!

3) Wyoming can't stop anyone on the ground and struggle to stop them through the air as well. Also, the Colorado State D has been getting stronger as the season has gone on. The Rams have allowed only 16 ppg in their 4 games in MWC action. They are 4-0 in MWC games and won by an average margin of 11 ppg. I expect another blowout by 10+ in this one. Home team rolls here as the Rams add to their 6-0 ATS run and make it 7-0 ATS last 7 games!    

T.M. Prediction: 34-14 Colorado State.

Line: -8.5

T.M. Selection: EAGLES - ATS

1) I like the Eagles to get the solid blowout win in this game against the Commanders on Thursday, November 14th. The line looks like a trap line to take underdog catching more than a FG in a match-up featuring teams with nearly identical records battling it out at the top of the division and I am not falling for it!

2) Hard to believe...but true...the Eagles have allowed an average of LESS THAN 200 yards over the last 4 games. Their defense has been spectacular. This includes run defense which is a weakness of the Commanders and I expect Philadelphia to run all over Washington in this match-up.    

3) Philadelphia has won 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams and with a line of 3.5 on this game, any Eagles SU win is quite likely to also be an ATS win. The Commanders are having a solid season but have lost a few games recently and also had a crazy last-second win over Chicago. The Eagles, on the other hand, have won 5 straight games and are one of the hottest teams in the league. I am laying the points with confidence on this one.     

T.M. Prediction: 30-17 EAGLES

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: GIANTS - ATS

1) I like the Giants to get the solid blowout win in this game against the Panthers on Sunday, November 10th. The line looks like a trap line to take underdog catching nearly a full TD in a match-up featuring teams with identical 2-7 records and I am not falling for it!

2) Giants are favored heavily here in this neutral site game even though Carolina is off a win because the Panthers were outgained by a huge margin in that game and were very fortunate to beat the Saints! New York has some solid weapons on offense and that will be the difference in this one as the Panthers just don't have enough playmakers on offense plus the Carolina defense has regressed as the season has gone on.   

3) The Giants offense has not been great this season but they are better than Carolina's especially now that New York is a little healthier on that side of the ball. The Panthers defense has fallen to the bottom of the NFL while New York is respectable ranking in the middle of the pack. Last but not least the Giants do a great job of getting to the opposing QB while Carolina is one of the worst in the NFL for sacking the QB. This will also play a key role and the Giants pass defense has been strong this season as well. Blowout alert here!    

T.M. Prediction: 27-13 GIANTS

Line: -6.5

T.M. Selection: Iowa - ATS

1) I like the Hawkeyes to get the solid win in this game against the Bruins on Friday, November 8th. This is an interesting line considering how the Hawkeyes are off a huge win over Wisconsin and now had to travel out west to face UCLA in Bruins country! The line looks like an invitation to grab the home dog getting nearly a TD but I am not falling for the trap line as the Hawkeyes have the better defense and the much stronger running attack on offense which makes all the difference here. 

2) UCLA has won 2 straight games but this followed a 1-5 start in their first 6 games this season. The Bruins had lost 5 straight games prior to the B2B wins and UCLA is 0-3 at home and scoring only 14 ppg at home this season!   

3) Iowa has a tough defense and runs the ball so well on offense and I just don't see the Bruins being able to keep up in this game! Not only is Iowa 6-3 this season, the Hawkeyes have scored an average of 38.5 ppg in their 6 victories. They are favored here and another solid win should result the way I see it as the Bruins remain winless at home on the season.

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 Iowa  

Line: -5.5 -122 or -6

T.M. Selection: Western Michigan - ATS

1) I like the Broncos to get the solid win in this game against the Huskies on Wednesday, November 6th. I will grab the +2 points here but I am expecting the outright win of course! This is an interesting line considering how the line has flipped from Western Michigan as the favorite to now Northern Illinois! I am not falling for the trap line as the Huskies have the better defense but the Broncos offense as well as home field makes all the difference here. 

2) Western Michigan has won 4 straight games and scored an average of 45 points in the 4 victories. They are riding sky high right now. The Huskies off B2B losses and have averaged only 19 points scored last 7 games.  

3) This is a double revenge spot including Northern Illinois rolling to a 24-0 win over the Broncos last week. This Western Michigan team rolling with confidence and a strong offense right now and these are key factors heading into this game. The books know this too and that is why this game was originally priced with Western Michigan as the favorite. The betting masses may be fooled on this one but we won't! The Broncos are the bet here!

T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Western Michigan  

Line: +2

T.M. Selection: CHIEFS - ATS

1) I like the Chiefs to get the solid blowout win in this game against the Bucs on Monday, November 4th. The line looks like a trap line to take road team catching more than a full TD as an underdog and I am not falling for it!

2) Tampa Bay has a strong offense but now faces a top-notch defense here. That will stop the Bucs in their tracks in this one and the problem is the Buccaneers defense is a major liability which Kansas City will exploit!  

3) The Chiefs have not looked as dominant this season on offense so some will see the value in the big points here for TB. However, the Bucs defense has been so bad that the Chiefs offense is highly likely to have a huge game here at home in Monday night action. Tampa has allowed 32.3 ppg last 4 games (sans OT points of course). Kansas City, on other hand, has not allowed more than 25 points in a game this season. Other than allowing 25 points, KC allowed 20 or less in all 6 of their other games and an average of only 16.3 ppg in those 6 games. Blowout alert here!    

T.M. Prediction: 31-14 CHIEFS

Line: -9

T.M. Selection: JAGUARS - ATS

1) I like the Jaguars to get the solid home dog cover in this game against the Packers on Sunday, October 27th. The line looks like a trap line to take road team laying only 4 points even though they are 5-2 and taking on a 2-5 team. As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Packers are now 5-2 this season but only 2 of their 7 games have been wins by more than 6 points so look for the Jaguars to be in this one all the way! Also, Green Bay is tied for 2nd in the NFC North because the Lions are #1 in the division with a 5-1 record. Guess who the Packers have on deck? Yes, Detroit is up next for GB so this is a classic lookahead situation!   

3) The Jaguars have not looked great this season but they are starting to turn the corner with wins in 2 of their last 3 games. Also, only 2 of their 7 games this season have been losses by more than a 5-point margin. Again, another reason to expect this one to be a very tight game with the points a huge value to have on your side! Upset alert! 

T.M. Prediction: 26-23 JAGUARS

Line: +4

T.M. Selection: Michigan Wolverines - ATS

1) I like the Wolverines to get the solid win and cover in this game against the Spartans on Saturday, October 26th. The line has come crashing down to 3.5 after being up near double digits originally! Do the markets really believe the oddsmakers were that far off of reality on this one from the get go? 

2) This massive line move simply does not make sense. The coaching edge here would go to the Spartans and certainly Michigan State is a much improved team. However, this team does not have the talent level that the Wolverines have. Michigan is still one of the top programs in the country from a recruiting and talent perspective while the Spartans are still rebuilding!

3) Though these teams are each 4-3 on the season, Michigan is 4-1 at home this season with their only loss to a very strong Texas team! The Spartans are 1-2 on the road this season and they went 0-2 this season against ranked teams with the losses by an average margin of 26 points. The Wolverines did beat a ranked USC team this season. Also, Jack Tuttle should be better at QB at home and in what will now be his 3rd game under center and first time in B2B weeks this season. The consistency helps him plus the Wolverines ground game is a big edge in this one.     

T.M. Prediction: 24-14 Michigan.

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: Louisville Cardinals - ATS

1) I like the Cardinals to get the solid win and cover in this game against the Eagles on Friday, October 25th. The line looks like a trap line to take the home team as a big underdog as Boston College is getting as much as 7.5 out there but we can find some 7 on the favorite, even with a little extra juice, and it is well worth it. In terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) Louisville has been rolling and is so strong on offense in comparison with a sputtering Boston College offense. The Eagles are a big step down from the program they were in some of their better recent seasons. The Cardinals are the stronger team and this BC team has been consistently losing by a solid margin. The Eagles off 2 straight losses with the last 2 each by 10+ points!

3) Boston College has averaged only 21 ppg in their 6 games against FBS teams this season. Louisville has scored 37.4 ppg this season! The Cardinals have lost 3 of 4 but 2 of those defeats were against ranked teams. They are off a 52-45 loss to #6 Miami and will respond immediately here I am sure. Boston College was down 28-0 at half in their loss last week. Ironically they also trailed Louisville by 28 points at the half when these teams met last season as well. More of the same in this one. Road team rolls here!    

T.M. Prediction: 34-20 Louisville.

Line: -7

T.M. Selection: Kennesaw State - ATS

1) I like the Owls to stay within a 2 to 3 TD margin in this game against Liberty on Wednesday, October 23rd. This is a perfect setup based on recent results leading to VALUE!

2) Kennesaw State is 0-6 this season but other than a blowout loss to Jacksonville State, they have allowed just 26 ppg in their other 5 games this season and yet 26 is the line on this game! We should not need many points from the Owls to cover this spread as they have allowed 34 points or less in 5 of 6 games this season.  

3) The Owls will come to play here. They were embarrassed in their most recent home game and don't want to get embarrassed again. Liberty is 5-0 this season but the Flames have not been as dominant as that record might make one believe. Liberty has not won a game by more than an 18 point margin this season and their average margin of victory has been 12 points. The Flames also have game on deck with Jacksonville State and those Gamecocks have been surging and are undefeated so far in CUSA just like Liberty. The Flames will get caught looking ahead here.     

T.M. Prediction: 31-14 Liberty

Line: +26

T.M. Selection: BILLS - ATS

1) I like the Bills to get the solid win in this game against the Titans on Sunday, October 20th. The line looks like a trap line to take road team catching more than a full TD as an underdog and I am not falling for it!

2) Tennessee is 1-4 this season and their most recent game against a team that currently has a winning record was at home versus Green Bay. The Packers are now 4-2 this season (same record as Bills) and GB blasted the Titans by 16 points!  

3) The Bills have not looked great this season but they also have played a road-heavy schedule. Now they are home in Buffalo where they are 2-0 this season and have scored 40.5 points per game. I just don't see the Titans being able to keep up with Buffalo in this game! Tennessee has been held to 17 points or less in all 4 losses. The Bills have averaged scoring 34 ppg in their 4 wins this season. Blowout alert here!    

T.M. Prediction: 28-13 BILLS

Line: -8.5

T.M. Selection: BYU Cougars - ATS

1) I like the Cougars to get the solid win in this game against the Cowboys on Friday, October 18th. The line looks like a trap line to take the road team as a big underdog and visiting a team that they were actually favored by 17 against them when they faced them last season! My how things can change in the course of just one year. What a line swing! In terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) Brigham Young has been rolling and is so strong on defense in comparison with a horrible Cowboys defense. Oklahoma State is a big step down from the program they have been in recent seasons. The Cougars are the stronger team and this OSU team has been consistently losing by a solid margin. The Cowboys off 3 straight losses with the last 2 each by 21+ points!

3) Oklahoma State can't stop anyone on the ground and struggle to stop them through the air as well. Also, the BYU pass D has been great - among the best in the nation. Brigham Young is 6-0 SU and ATS this season and when at home they have won all 3 games by 21+ points! I expect another blowout in this one. Home team rolls here!    

T.M. Prediction: 37-16 Brigham Young.

Line: -9

T.M. Selection: Minnesota - ATS

1) I like the Gophers to get the solid win in this game against the Bruins on Saturday, October 12th. The line looks like a trap line to take home team as an underdog and hosting a team off a hard-fought win over a tough USC team. In terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) Minnesota has a bye week on deck and they know they can rest up next week. That said, even off the late game win over Southern Cal last week, there will be not let up from the Gophers here on the road. They are the stronger team and this UCLA team has been consistently losing by a solid margin. 

3) The Bruins have played a tough schedule but the Gophers also have played a tough schedule in recent weeks. Also, the only UCLA win is over Hawaii. The Warriors are a team that is just 2-3 on the season and the only 2 wins were over FCS schools as Hawaii is 0-3 versus FBS teams! UCLA throws more than they run and the Gophers pass D has been great. Road team rolls here!    

T.M. Prediction: 27-14 Minnesota.

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - ATS 

This is just too many points for this match-up. Seattle is 3-0 SU this season and while one could argue their schedule has been weak, they faced a Dolphins team that is expected to be in the playoffs plus a Broncos team that is 2-1 in its 3 games not against the Seahawks. I believe Seattle is a bit undervalued here and remember that Detroit was very fortunate in their OT win over the Rams in Week 1. Then in Week 2 they lost to the Bucs. Then in Week 3 the Lions did defeat the Cardinals but Arizona is now 1-3 this season. If you look at the cumulative score of the Lions 3 games at the end of regulation this season they have only a net 3 point edge or 1 point edge per game. Getting more than the key number of 4 here is definitely generous based on early season returns. The Seahawks did get the money in 4 of the 6 games they were a road dog last year and I expect that again here! This one has great value, the way I see it, with the road dog. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Seahawks. 

Line: +4.5

T.M. Selection: RAVENS - ATS

1) I like the Ravens to get the solid win in this game against the Bills on Sunday, September 29th. The line looks like a trap line to take road team catching points as an underdog despite being 3-0 on the season and facing a 1-2 team. I am not falling for it!

2) Why grab 1-2 Baltimore against a 3-0 Buffalo team? The Bills beat the Cardinals (now 1-2) at home and then beat a Miami team (now 1-2) that is showing they are not at the level expected this season. The other win was against a still winless 0-3 Jacksonville team!   

3) Baltimore has played the much tougher schedule with games against the Chiefs and Cowboys included. We get line value here because of the slow start to the season for the Ravens (tight losses) and the fact the final score was 28-25 last week against Dallas. Remember they did lead in that game 28-3 before Cowboys scored late TDs to make a game of it by late 4th quarter. Ravens will certainly be ready to go the full sixty minutes after that near-disaster finish at Dallas.      

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 RAVENS

Line: -2.5

T.M. Selection: CARDINALS - ATS

1) I like the Cardinals to get the solid win in this game against the Commanders on Sunday, September 29th. The line looks like a trap line to take road team catching more than a full FG as an underdog and I am not falling for it!

2) Washington is 2-1 this season but the Commanders have played the Giants, Buccaneers and Bengals. The first win was over the Giants and Washington did not even score a TD in that game. The second win was over Cincinnati last week but the Bengals are now 0-3 on the season and Washington was outgained in that game.  

3) Washington is on a short week and having to travel practically coast to coast here so this also favors the Cardinals. At home, Arizona was handed a loss last week by the Lions. The Cardinals will be ready to respond off the home loss and have already responded off their other loss this season as they blasted the Rams here after a tight loss to Buffalo in Week 1.     

T.M. Prediction: 31-20 CARDINALS

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: BENGALS - ATS

1) I like the Bengals to get the solid win in this game against the Commanders on Monday, September 23rd. The line looks like a trap line to take road team catching a full TD as an underdog and I am not falling for it!

2) Washington is 1-1 this season but the Commanders have played the Giants and Buccaneers. The win was over the Giants and Washington did not even score a TD in that game. Cincinnati did lose to the Patriots in Week 1 but New England does have a tough defense. The Bengals then very nearly upset the Chiefs at Kansas City last week. 

3) With Burrow getting going finally at QB last week for the Bengals I look for a big game from him here. Cincinnati is at home and desperate after their 0-2 start to the season. Out of 32 NFL teams only Jacksonville and Tennessee also remain winless. The odds favor the Bengals finally notching that first win.    

T.M. Prediction: 31-17 BENGALS

Line: -7

T.M. Selection: Southern Cal - ATS

1) I like the Trojans to get the solid win in this game against the Wolverines on Saturday, September 21st. The line looks like a trap line to take home team in the Big House as an underdog and I am not falling for it!

2) USC is rested as they are coming off an early season bye week and they have looked strong already this season including on defense. 

3) Michigan is likely starting a dual-threat QB but I trust this Southern Cal defense to hold him and the Wolverines offense in check in this one. USC has looked much better early this season than Michigan plus they have the rest edge here. Texas made the Wolverines look bad here at home a few weeks ago and I expect similar dominance here.   

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 USC

Line: -4

T.M. Selection: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS - ATS 

This is just too many points for this match-up. The Jets have some problems defensively early this season including a couple of key players now out. The Patriots defense has been a great strength early this season.  I also like the fact that NE is off a loss and NY is off a win.  Look for the Patriots to respond here and they have a solid ground game on offense too and the Jets run defense has not been good.  This is a lot of points for a questionable Jets team to be laying.  They don't have the offensive prowess to command this much respect at home.  Rodgers is still getting this team to all be on the same page offensively and the defense is just not there yet.  Also, the Patriots have owned this series with SU wins in 7 of the last.  Getting almost a full TD here is definitely generous based on early season returns.  This one has great value, the way I see it, with the road dog. 

T.M. Prediction: 21-20 Patriots. 

Line: +6.5

T.M. Selection: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - ATS 

This is just too much value to pass up on in this match-up. The Seahawks are a much more complete team on both sides of the ball. The Patriots defense was great last week but so too is Seattle's. Also, coming off the road upset at Cincinnati makes it tough to duplicate such an effort in B2B weeks. The Seahawks won by 6 versus Denver last week but the Broncos scored a late TD after Seattle was already up 13. We get the better team at a great number here as the Seahawks have the better offense and I can't trust Brissett at QB for New England. Look for the more balanced team to pull away in the 2nd half of this game. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-14 Seahawks. 

Line: -2.5

T.M. Selection: Kentucky - ATS

1) I like the Wildcats to stay within a 2 to 3 TD margin in this game against Georgia on Saturday, September 14th. This is a perfect setup based on recent results leading to VALUE!

2) Kentucky looked horrible last week at South Carolina but absolutely can be better and they have a solid defense! As strong as Georgia is, they shocked Clemson with how they dominated in Week 1 but then did face a weak FCS school last week. Now they are over-value and over-confident.  

3) The Wildcats will come to play here. They were embarrassed last week but are at home and don't want to get embarrassed again. The Kentucky defense is good enough to keep them in this game and the offense will pull out a few trick plays here to catch the Bulldogs defense off guard. Georgia will eventually pull away but I see this game being much closer than the line suggests as recent results have over-inflated the line in this situation. Georgia best team in country but Kentucky will be treating this like their "super bowl" early this season.     

T.M. Prediction: 29-17 Georgia

Line: +23.5

T.M. Selection: Kansas State - ATS

1) I like Kansas State to get the solid win in this game against Arizona on Friday, September 13th. The line looks like a trap line to take a ranked Arizona team getting a full TD on the spread in this one and I am not falling for it!

2) Kansas State dominated Tennessee Martin in Week 1 and, though their Week 2 win was tight they faced a respectable Tulane team. 

3) Unlike Kansas State, Arizona has not yet faced a respectable team as they faced a New Mexico team that is horrible defensively and then an FCS school last week that has been struggling in recent seasons. It is concerning that Arizona only scored 22 points on Northern Arizona last week and also allowed 39 points to New Mexico in Week 1. So here we take advantage of the line value.  

T.M. Prediction: 38-21 Kansas State

Line: -7

T.M. Selection: San Francisco - ATS 

I like the San Francisco 49ers to win this game by a margin against the New York Jets on Monday, September 9th. The 49ers have been so strong at home for years and the Jets have been so weak on the road for years. I know the Jets are supposed to be improved but I do feel there are a lot of new pieces, including Rodgers after basically missing all of 2023, and these guys are going to have to get use to playing with one another on the field. I just don't expect them to hit the ground running and here they are on the road and facing a team that has either been in, or was a near miss for, the Super Bowl in 4 of the past 5 seasons. I feel there is too much hype around Rodgers and the Jets. If they do even live up to the hype I don't expect it to be right out of the gate. The Niners are a tough team that also will be tough in the trenches here and I expect them to pull away in the 2nd half of this game.  

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 49ers. 

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: Virginia - ATS

1) I like the Cavaliers to get the solid win in this game against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, September 7th. I will grab the +1.5 points here but I am expecting the outright win of course! This is an interesting line considering Wake Forest has won 5 straight meetings! I am not falling for the trap. Virginia breaks that skid here.

2) I like what I saw from young QB Anthony Colandrea in the Virginia win over Richmond last week. Wake Forest is also off a win albeit against NC AT & T. The Cavaliers have the more experienced team and that is especially important early in the season.

3) I am looking for Virginia to improve to 8-3 ATS the last 11 times they have been in the underdog role! The Cavaliers were up by 20 last week in the 2nd quarter and then just cruised the rest of the way. I believe the Cavs defense is better than most realize and that can be key in going on the road and winning in a tough environment. The books know this too and that is why this game is priced this way. The betting masses may be fooled on this one but we won't! The Cavs are the bet here!

T.M. Prediction: 31-24 Virginia

Line: +1.5

T.M. Selection: LSU - ATS

1) I like the Tigers to get the solid win by a margin in this game against the Trojans on Sunday, September 1st. The line was around a touchdown and has dropped big and I am taking the reduced line now on offer here - laying only 4 points.

2) Well, truth be told, LSU will have some early season growing pains on defense but this offense looks stacked because of a solid offensive line and they have restocked at the skill positions too. I know that the Tigers have lost 4 straight season openers and USC has not lost a season opener in almost a decade but that is why one should not question what the odds makers did here.  

3) LSU was installed as a solid favorite and this is absolutely not a bad line by the odds makers. It is an indication actually that the Tigers will not be denied here in Las Vegas for this neutral site game! The Tigers do have a lot of new players on defense, including on the defensive line, but these are talents that will quickly fit right in. I am looking for the favorite to prove to be the better team on both sides of the ball. 

T.M. Prediction: 38-28 LSU

Line: -4

T.M. Selection: Notre Dame - ATS

1) I like the Irish to get the upset in this game against the Texas A & M Aggies on Saturday, August 31st. I am taking the available points on offer here - 3 points - but am expecting Notre Dame to get the road win. 

2) Well, truth be told, the Fighting Irish will have some early season growing pains on offense but this defense looks stacked. Notre Dame is so strong with what they have built defensively here that all the pressure will be on the Aggies at home as the fave and A & M just can't do enough on offense here.  

3) Texas A & M brought back Wiegman at QB but he missed much of last season due to injury and this Aggies offense continues to struggle to find its form (against quality teams!) year after year and especially with 3 new starters on the offensive line. Irish allowed 23 points or less in 10 of 13 games last season and allowed an average of just 11.9 points in those 10 games. Aggies allowed 30 points or more in 4 of their games last season including each of the last two. Value with the points here with consideration to the better defense! 

T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Notre Dame.

Line: +3

T.M. Selection: Michigan State - ATS

1) I like the Spartans to win this game in blowout fashion against the Florida Atlantic Owls on Friday, August 30th. Michigan State definitely out with something to prove this season and they will want to begin their payback tour immediately at home. 

2) Well, truth be told, it is absolutely a new era in East Lansing with new head coach Jonathan Smith. He was with Oregon State and the Beavers had incredible ATS runs in home games with him at the helm there. He has the Spartans looking focused and ready coming into this season and I want to cash in on this. 

3) Florida Atlantic brought in a transfer QB from Marshall for this season. Fancher is going to take some time to work into the new system here and I was not crazy about him with the Thundering Herd either. This Owls team just does not have enough offense to keep up against a focused Big Ten team in need of a statement win in their home opener. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-13 Michigan State.

Line: -12.5  

T.M. Selection: KC - ATS

I like the Kansas City Chiefs to win this game against the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, January 28th. Even though Baltimore is the home team and had the better record this season, I believe that the Chiefs bring in all of the momentum into this game. They are coming off a massive road win against Buffalo and proved everyone that they can win on the road. This will be their 6th straight AFC Championship game. Expect a legacy game for Mahomes and slowly gets closer to the G.O.A.T debate. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-17 Chiefs. 

Line: +4.5 

Line Parameter: play until +3.0.. 

T.M. Selection: MISSOU - ATS 

I like the Missouri Tigers to win this game against the Ohio State Buckeyes on Friday, December 29th. As injuries have pilled up and opt outs have been recorded, the line has came down significantly. Having seen that, I think that the value is still on the Missouri Tigers. They were one of the best teams in the best conference this season and have yet to show any signs of real weakness. OSU will be without the QB they started all season and could be without Marvin Harrison Jr (nobody knows yet.) The Tigers lost by single digits @UGA and lost a thriller against LSU. The Buckeyes are still sour about their loss against Michigan and that could carry on into this game. Brady Cook will explode on Friday evening and Missou will hand OSU their second loss of the year. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-23 Missouri. 

Line: +6.0 

Line Parameter: play until ML.. 

T.M. Selection: Jacksonville - ATS 

I like the Jacksonville Jaguars to win this game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, December 24th. Jacksoville looked bad last week. They've now lost three straight and this has become a massive game for them. Even though it's big for Tampa as well, this is a game that the Jags fans would have counted as a winner not many weeks ago. With Lawrence back healthy it looks like, I think that they can still count it as a winner. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-21 Jaguars. 

Line: -1.0 

Line Parameter: play until -2.5.. 

T.M. Selection: NO - ATS 

I like the New Orleans Saints to win this game against the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday, December 21st. This is a humongous game for both of these teams as we head down the stretch. Both are fighting for their lives to try and grab a playoff spot and a win here would be gigantic. The Saints have won back to back now and their defense looks great. LAR is coming off a win themselves, but have struggled a bit defensively this season. In a matchup that still haunts the Saints from 2019 and that awful call, I expect them to rally and win this game on TNF. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-23 Saints. 

Line: +4.0 

Line Parameter: play until +3.0.. 

T.M. Selection: KC- ATS 

I like the Kansas City Chiefs to win this game against the New England Patriots on Sunday, December 17th. The Chiefs are now off back to back losses and they are slipping down in the ranks. This has turned into a huge game for them as they do not want to fall further and let the Broncos take the lead for the division. The Patriots have not been very good this season and shouldn't be this week. Expect Mahomes and Kelce to dominate and for the Chiefs to cruise to an easy victory on Sunday afternoon. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-9 Chiefs. 

Line: -7.5 

Line Parameter: play until -11.5.. 

T.M. Selection: MIA - ATS 

I like the Miami Dolphins to win this game against the Tennessee Titans on Monday, December 11th. Miami has shown week after week that they don't care how many points their opponents drop, it's about them and them only. They will blow you out if you cannot score and match them. It's just a way too explosive offense for the Titans and I don't believe that they'll be able to keep up. Hammer Miami here. 

T.M. Prediction: 35-13 Miami. 

Line: -13.5 

Line Parameter: play until -14.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Buffalo - ATS 

I like the Buffalo Bills to win this game against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, December 10th. I know this game is played at Arrowhead. I know that the Bills have struggled this season. I know that the Chiefs could win the Super Bowl again this season. Nobody believes in this Bills team still. But, I do. Buffalo needs to win this game. They've dug themselves into a hole and they have to win games down the stretch. It's a difficult schedule, but they are talented enough to beat any team in the NFL. I think Josh Allen and co. get the job done @KC on Sunday in week 14. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-24 Bills. 

Line: +1.5 

Line Parameter: play until PK (can play ML..) 

T.M. Selection: Los Angeles - Moneyline 

I like the Los Angeles Chargers to win this game against the New England Patriots on Sunday, December 3rd. Coming off yet another loss, the Chargers season is in deep trouble. A win here would go a very long way as they've got tough game after tough game ahead. Expect them to dominate on the road and get back in the winning column on Sunday. Hammer LAC. 

T.M. Prediction: 35-10 Chargers. 

Line: -4.5 

Line Parameter: play until -6.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Troy - ATS 

I like the Troy Trojans to win this game against the Appalachian State Mountaineers on Saturday, December 2nd. Although App State is a good football team, they are not nearly as good as the Trojans. Troy comes into this game having won nine straight games. These teams didn't play during the season, but Troy smells blood and is searching for a tenth straight victory. App State struggled and lost a few winnable games early on in the year. I don't think that they'll be able to move the ball at ease, like they have in previous weeks, against this very strong Troy defense. Hammer the team with the better record here. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-20 Troy. 

Line: -4.5 

Line Parameter: play until -5.5.. 

T.M. Selection: BUF - ATS 

I like the Buffalo Bills to win this game against the New York Jets on Sunday, November 19th. It's now or never for a Bills team that everybody had high hopes for this season. They are currently 5-5 and need wins if they want to get back in the playoff hunt. With the Eagles, Chiefs, Cowboys, and Chargers over the next four weeks, this is practically a must-win for this Bills team. Buffalo has shown that they can look like the best team in the league this season but not all that often. I think they'll break out here with a statement win against a Jets team that's already beaten them this season in week 1. Hammer Buffalo in this game. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-10 Bills. 

Line: -7.5 

Line Parameter: play until -8.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Central Michigan - ATS 

I like the Central Michigan Chippewas to win this game against the Western Michigan Broncos on Tuesday, November 7th. Both teams are coming off a loss.. But, the Chippewas own a much better record and I believe that they are the better team. Though CMU has been very bad on the road over the past few weeks, they still own a road win against USA which means they are more than capable of stealing one. It's quite evenly matched stat wise across the board but I'll take the extra points with the side with the better record here. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-24 CMU. 

Line: +3.0 

Line Parameter: play until +1.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Rice - ATS 

I like the Rice Owls to win this game against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane on Thursday, October 19th. While both teams come into this game with a 3-3 record, I believe that Rice is the better of the two. Rice QB, JT Daniels, is very experienced and knowledgeable after originally starting his college career at USC and UGA. He's very solid this season averaging three touchdowns per int. On the other hand, Tulsa is turning the ball over like it's nothing. They've turned the ball over 16 times in six games and could be in for another rough game here. Rice should win this one outright, but I'll gladly take the points. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-26 Rice. 

Line: +3.5 

Line Parameter: play until +2.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Oregon State - ATS 

I like the Oregon State Beavers to win this game against the California Golden Bears on Saturday, October 7th. Cal has played in some very close game this year. That is why this line is dropping. But, other than Washington, ORST is not like any team they've faced yet. In that Washington game, the Golden Bears were exposed. Expect them to be exposed in this one too. ORST defense will be too much for them to handle. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-14 Oregon State. 

Line: -7.0 

Line Parameter: play until -8.0..

T.M. Selection: San Diego State Aztecs - ATS 

I like the San Diego State Aztecs to win this game against the Air Force Falcons on Saturday, September 28th. Record wise, Air Force is the much better looking team. Their perfect 4-0 record is impressive. However, the Aztecs come into this matchup battle tested as they've already played Ohio, UCLA, Oregon St & Boise St coming into this game. Air Force struggled in the first half last week, as they were trailing going into the 3rd qtr against SJST. The Aztecs are much more complete than the Spartans and could very well win this game outright. They should be able to neutralize this rushing attack of the Falcons. I'm hammering the +10 and a half points in this game. 

T.M. Prediction: 23-19 SDST. 

Line: +10.5 

Line Parameter: play until +8.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Utah Utes - ATS 

I like the Utah Utes to win this game against the Oregon State Beavers on Friday, September 29th. Both of these teams play power “run the ball” football. In their toughest games of the season so far (last week,) Utah lived up to the challenge, and Oregon St looked confused. They managed to almost comeback, but the Beavers offense was completely shut down for most of that game. Even if Cam Rising doesn't play again, the Utes have plenty of talent on this football team. Nate Johnson is capable, and this defense is top tier. Give me the Utes plus the points. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-16 Utah. 

Line: +4.5 

Line Parameter: play until +3.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Seattle Seahawks - ATS 

I like the Seattle Seahawks to win this game against the Carolina Panthers on Sunday, September 24th. Although the Seahawks haven't really found their stride defensively yet, they looked very explosive offensively last week against Detroit. With Andy Dalton starting at QB for the Panthers, I don't see them competing in this game. Seattle should win easily. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-14 Seahawks. 

Line: -5.0 

Line Parameter: play until -6.5.. 

T.M. Selection: GASO - ATS 

I like the Georgia Southern Eagles to win this game against the Ball State Cardinals on Saturday, September 23rd. Even though the Cardinals are coming off a big blowout win, they still haven't shown anything special yet. GASO coming in off a loss, but they kept it close with Wisconsin for a long time. Ball State's been tested more, but I expect the Eagles to show the country how good they really are here in this one. 

T.M. Prediction: 37-22 Georgia Southern. 

Line: -6.0 

Line Parameter: play until -7.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Florida - ATS 

I like the Florida Gators to win this game against the Tennessee Volunteers on September 16th. After losing in week one to the Utes, the Gators bounced back in a huge way against McNeese St last week. Now, they host Tennessee in what could turn into an absolute classic. Tennessee comes in having won both of their games. However, they struggled for a while against Austin Peay last week. They just aren't as explosive as last year and could get into some trouble against a top defense. Florida's defense looks fresh and look hungry to get back above .500 for the season. With this game being played at the Swamp in Gainesville, I'll take the extra touchdown any day of the week.  

T.M. Prediction: 29-24 Gators. 

Line: +7.0 

Line Parameter: play until +6.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Air Force - ATS 

I like the Air Force Falcons to win this game against the Utah State Aggies on Friday, September 15th. Although Air Force only scored 13 points last time out, they have still looked very good to start the year. Sam Houston State is playing some excellent defense, despite being 0-2. This week, Air Force is taking on USU. The Aggies are coming off a blowout win, but have already lost this year against Iowa. Iowa is a defensive team and don't necessarily blow out many team and they were still able to beat USU by double digits. Air Force's unique offense should be too overpowering for this Utah St team that only returns 9 of it's 22 starters from last year. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-13 Air Force. 

Line: -9.0

Line Parameter: play until -9.5.. 

T.M. Selection: NYG - ATS 

I like the New York Giants to win this game against the Dallas Cowboys on September 10th. Cowboys fans are once again expecting a great season from their team. However, I believe that their 2023 campaign could get off to a slow start. Playing against a division rival that looked like one of the best teams in football last season on SNF in the opener. With a healthy Saquon, this Giants team could cause problems all night for Dallas. I'll gladly take the extra field goal +. 

T.M. Prediction: 26-20 NYG. 

Line: +3.5 

Line Parameter: play until +1.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Seattle Seahawks - ATS 

I like the Seattle Seahawks to win this game against the Los Angeles Rams on September 10th. The Seahawks are coming into this season with all the confidence in the world. Having made the playoffs last season against all odds, they have nothing to lose. The Rams will be without superstar WR Cooper Kupp to start this season and I believe that that will hurt LA a lot. Seattle's defense will feast and I expect an easy win from the home team to start the new campaign. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-14 Seahawks. 

Line: -4.5 

Line Parameter: play until -6.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Auburn - ATS 

I like the Auburn Tigers to win this game against the California Golden Bears on September 9th. Cal looked good in Wk1, don't get me wrong. However, I believe that this line is a gift with how good Auburn is. The Tigers dominated UMASS in their opener and look to do the exact same thing this week. Auburn brought in former MSU QB Payton Thorne to start this season and he looked excellent. As I said early, Cal looked pretty good against UNT. But, they struggled in the first half defensively and that could be an issue in this one. They also won't be able to run the ball nearly as well as Auburn is strong in the trenches. Get the best line while you can as Auburn should dominate. 

T.M. Prediction: 38-17 Auburn. 

Line: -6.5 

Line Parameter: play until -9.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Texas - ATS 

I like the Texas Longhorns to win this game against the Alabama Crimson Tide on September 9th. In the past, I've been extremely high on Alabama each and every season. However, I believe that they are in for a long season this year. They've got some very tough games on their schedule and I just don't see how they will dominate the way that they have in the past with Milroe at QB. Texas, who went up against Bryce Young last year, should have won this matchup. Alabama got extremely lucky. This year, without Young, I expect them to be right back in it. This game could go either way, but I'm glad grabbing the extra touchdown and a half here. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-27 Texas. 

Line: +7.5 

Line Parameter: play until +6.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Florida State Seminoles - ATS 

I like the Florida State Seminoles to win this game against the Louisiana State Tigers on Sunday, Sep 3. These teams met last year in what was possibly the game of the year. FSU had the game in the bag and almost blew what was an almost guaranteed win. Jared Verse, FSU DLineman, had an insane game last year. I expect him to go crazy once again here. This year, both teams are improved, and both are National Title Contenders. Both teams will need to win some big games, but I think that the Noles will just be one step ahead here in the opener. They've got 17 returning starters compared to 15 and should get the job done. Give me FSU. 

T.M. Prediction: 33-23 Seminoles. 

Line: +2.5

Line Parameter: play until -1.0 (can play ML..) 

T.M. Selection: Western Kentucky - ATS 

I like the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win this game against the South Florida Bulls on September 2nd. Coming off a terrific 9-5 season, the Hilltoppers are back and ready to make another run for the CUSA title. They return their star QB and this offense is about to explode just like last season. South Florida was just 1-11 last season. They are slightly improved. However, it's going to take time for this group to mold together. I'm shocked that this line is so low, especially @WKU. Expect a Hilltoppers destruction here today. 

T.M. Prediction: 44-17 WKU. 

Line: -11.5 

Line Parameter: play until -13.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Louisville - ATS 

I like Louisville to win this game against Georgia Tech on September 1st. Although Georgia Tech was ok last year. However, I believe that they have taken yet another step backwards, especially on the defensive end. They've got a great coach in Key, but you need a lot more than a coach in a team sport. Louisville is back and ready to dominate this season. Even after losing Malik Cunningham, the Cardinals are looking sharp and primed for another 8+ win season. Even on the road in this opening game, I expect Louisville to get the job done and cruise to an easy week 1 victory. 

T.M. Prediction: 38-14 Louisville. 

Line: -7.0 

Line Parameter: play until -8.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Vanderbilt - ATS 

I like the Vanderbilt Commodores to win this game against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on Aug 26th. There isn't much to say about the stats for the first game of the year. However, this game has beatdown written all over it. Last season, when these two teams met, Vanderbilt took it to another level, winning the game 63-10. That game was played in Hawaii. Now the Rainbow Warriors, who are not very good on the road, travel all the way to Nashville to take them on again. Hawaii may be slightly better this season, but Vanderbilt should also be a bit better. SEC vs MVC. Give me the Commodores, in a blowout, in this Week 0 matchup. 

T.M. Prediction: 45-14 Commodores. 

Line: -17

Line Parameter: play until -19.0

T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Bengals - ATS 

I like the Cincinnati Bengals to win this game against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday. While I have great respect for Patrick Mahomes & Travis Kielce as I believe they are the best at their positions by far in the league, I believe that the Bengals are the better overall team in this game. After their trashing against the Bills, I'm surprised that the Bengals aren't the favorites coming into this game. I'm sure they will be as the week moves on and people become concerned about Mahomes' ankle injury. However, like I said in my Bengals/Bills writeup, “If you play zone, Burrow will pick you apart. If you play man, Higgins and Chase will go up and make big time plays.” Expect a forth straight Bengals win in this growing rivalry this weekend. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-24 Bengals. 

Line: +1.0 

Line Parameter: play until -2.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Bengals - ATS 

I like the Cincinnati Bengals to win this game against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. While these two teams supposedly met a few weeks ago in what was declared a no contest, the Bengals came out firing on all cylinders in that game. The touchdown strike to Tyler Boyd on the opening drive, was a sign of things to come in that game. However, that one didn't count and now they are playing each other once again with the season on the line. 

I'm going to say it. The Bengals have the best trio of WRs in the NFL right now and it's not even close. Jamarr Chase. Tee Higgins. Tyler Boyd. That's just ridiculous. If you play zone, Burrow will pick you apart. If you play man, Higgins and Chase will go up and make big time plays. 

The Bills have struggled a bit on defense over the past two weeks as they've allowed 54 total points (31 last week.) They still won't have DB Micah Hyde back in time for this game which is a huge blow for them. How they allowed a 3rd string rookie put up that many points last week is just a disaster waiting to happen for this weeks game. 

Expect a hard fought back and forth game with Burrow getting the best of Allen in an all time great Divisional Round game in Orchard Park. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-27 Bengals. 

Line: +6.0 

Line Parameter: play until +3.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (ATS) 

I like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win this game against the Dallas Cowboys on Monday. Tom Brady at home in the playoffs. What else could you ask for. He was sent home last season in the Divisional Round in a shootout against the Rams, but he wants to make one last run before his career runs out. The Cowboys have been just like every other Cowboy team in the past. Overhyped coming into the playoffs just to fall short. These two teams met in Week 1 where the Bucs defense completely shut down Dak and the Dallas offense. Expect another low scoring battle with the GOAT coming out on top here. 

T.M. Prediction: 23-13 Bucs. 

Line: +3.0 

Line Parameter: play until PK.. 

T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Eagles - ATS 

I like the Philadelphia Eagles to win this game against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. Off the loss last week against the Cowboys, the #1 seed in the NFC will not want to lose their top seed. They've been the best team in football all season long, and they still looked very strong without Jalen Hurts. Hurts might not play again, but I still think that they'll crush the Saints (who are pretty much out of the playoffs,) who come into this one off a very hard fought game. They'll be slightly banged up and I expect the Eagles defense to completely shut them down. It's a mismatch on both sides of the ball. Lay the points. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-9 Eagles.

Line: -6.5 

Line Parameter: play until -8.0..

T.M. Selection: UCLA Bruins - ATS 

I like the UCLA Bruins to win this game against the Pittsburgh Panthers on Friday. Although Pitt has looked solid all season long, this UCLA Bruins team was just a few plays away from playing in the Pac-12 Conference Championship game. Now both of these teams have played some very tough opponents this season, but UCLA is looking for their 10th win of the season this year, while the Panthers can only reach nine with a win. With one of the best rushing attacks in the nation, a very capable offense, and a confident QB, I expect the Bruins to win this game hardly against a Pitt team that lost to Louisville and Georgia Tech this year. 

T.M. Prediction: 41-23 UCLA

Line: -4.0

Line Parameter: play until -6.5

T.M. Selection: LA Chargers

I like the Los Angeles Chargers to win this game against the Indianapolis Colts on Monday. The Chargers have awaken, finally. They started the season pretty so-so, but like I said in my other writeup, I believe that they can be a contender for the SB if all the right pieces come together come playoff time. The Colts have now lost four in a row after that biggest choke in NFL history last weekend. That loss now knocks them out of the playoff race and the Chargers should have way more confidence coming into this game. LAC dominates with their passing attack and the Colts D allowed 460 passing yards to Kirk Cousins last week. Give me the Chargers in this one.

T.M. Prediction: 31-17 Chargers

Line: -2.5

Line Parameter: play until -5.5..

(Line Movement has made the current line -4.5. Therefore play until -6.0.)

*if goes above -5.5 reduce to 4%.

T.M. Selection: NMSU Aggies

I like the New Mexico State Aggies to win this game against the Bowling Green Falcons in the Quick Lane Bowl on Monday. While both teams enter this game with a 6-6 record, the Aggies are coming into this game with all the confidence in the world. In their last game, they hammered Valparaiso 65-3 to get their bowl spot. Prior to that, the Aggies dominated a very good Liberty side 49-14 as 25.5 point underdogs. Bowling Green is coming into this game off a big loss against Ohio more than a month ago now. They've already gotten killed by Buffalo and lost to Kent St earlier this season. NMSU's defense is what has gotten them here and I believe that BGSU will have some difficulties, especially in the passing game on Monday. Now it may be closer than I'm predicting, but the Aggies should have no problem winning this game and finish the 2022 season off with a bang.

T.M. Prediction: 37-14 Aggies

Line: +1.0

Line Parameter: play until -2.5 (can play ML..)

T.M. Selection: Miami Dolphins

I like the Miami Dolphins to win this game against the Green Bay Packers on Sunday. Although the Packers won and the Dolphins didn't last week, I have a lot of confidence in this selection. Miami outplayed Buffalo for most if not all of that game in a very cold and nasty game. Green Bay hung on against the Rams in a game that should have been a lot closer. Miami needs this badly to stay ahead of the Pats for the last wildcard spot. Green Bay would need to win out and have a whole lot of things happen if they want to have a chance. Miami has more speed, more weapons, and the home crowd behind them in this one. I'll gladly lay the points.

T.M. Prediction: 31-18 Dolphins

Line: -4.0

Line Parameter: play until -5.5..

T.M. Selection: EMU

I like the Eastern Michigan Eagles to win this game against the San Jose State Spartans on Tuesday. While both teams only had four losses, the Eagles have now won three straight games. The Spartans have lost two of their last three. EMU has a great passing defense which should limit SJST's ability to move the ball. I believe that EMU is more complete and just the better overall team. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 33-23 EMU.

Line: +4.0

Line Parameter: play until +3.0..

T.M. Selection: LA Rams

I like the Los Angeles Rams to cover the spread in this game against the Green Bay Packers on Monday. While the Rams signed Baker Mayfield a week and a half ago now, he's already turned himself into the man in L.A. Last week's ridiculous come from behind victory has everyone on their feet and ready to see what he can do this week. +9.0 is a gift considering how sub-par the Packers have been all season long. While I wouldn't be surprised whatsoever if the Rams won this game outright, I still have the Packers winning by a point. It should be a very close and low scoring game to end the week.

T.M. Prediction: 21-20 Packers.

Line: +9.0

Line Parameter: play until +6.5..

T.M. Selection: Atlanta Falcons

I like the Atlanta Falcons to win this game against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. While neither team has been excellent this season, they both still have a shot at the playoffs with how bad their division has been. Atlanta will be turning to rookie QB Desmond Ridder, who will see his first action in his young NFL career this weekend. The Cincinnati Bearcats product was one of the winningest QBs in college history with his tremendous 44-6 record as a starter. He's a duel threat QB that will torch you with his legs when he gets the chance. The Saints have lost back to back games and seem to have no rhythm on offense whatsoever. It's been a struggle all season. Give me the Falcons in the rookies debut.

T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Falcons

Line: +4.5

Line Parameter: play until +3.0

T.M. Selection: NE Pats

I like the New England Patriots to win this game against the Arizona Cardinals on Monday. Off back to back losses, Bill Belichick is looking for something to get them over .500 in this MNF showdown. Arizona might have the better team on paper, but the coaching difference is what is going to tell the story in this matchup. It's been a very bad season for the Cardinals as they see themselves needing to win out in order to have a chance at the playoffs. But the Pats have other things in mind. In their meeting two seasons ago, the Pats won 20-17 in a very contested match. I expect a similar game here with the NE defense completely shutting down Kyler Murray's offense. 

T.M. Prediction: 20-14 Patriots

Line: -1.5

Line Parameter: play until -2.5 (can play ML..)

T.M. Selection: Los Angeles Chargers

I like the Los Angeles Chargers to win this game against the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. Even though they have been dealing with a lot of injuries this season, I still believe that the Chargers are the more superior team between these two. Justin Herbert has finally started to wake up the past couple of weeks. With 609 passing yards, 4TDs and no turnovers in their last two games, he's finding the groove that he needs if they want to make the playoffs. Miami comes in off a big double digits loss against the Niners. They suffered a few minor injuries to Tua as well as Waddle in that game. Those two should still play, but might not play their absolute best here tonight. Give me the home Chargers on SNF.

T.M. Prediction: 37-26 Chargers

Line: +1.5

Line Parameter: play until PK (can play ML..)

T.M. Selection: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win this game against the New Orleans Saints on Monday. Tampa has not looked good this season whatsoever. Even though they come into week 13 with a .455 record, they still somehow lead the NFC South. The Saints have looked really bad this year, considering the talent that they possess. In fact, New Orleans got shut out completely against the Niners last week. I don't expect that to happen again, however, I do expect them to struggle once more against another very strong defense. 

T.M. Prediction: 26-10 Bucs

Line: -6.0 (bad line.. can get +3.5 now.)

Line Parameter: play until -6.5 

T.M. Selection: Kansas State

I like the Kansas State Wildcats to win this game against the TCU Horned Frogs on Saturday. TCU enters this game with a perfect 11-0 record. However, they've had to comeback in nearly half of their games this season, with a couple of last second wins to put them on top. KState has one of the best rushing attacks in the country. Although Will Howard will most likely get the start over Adrain Martinez, Deuce Vaughn will be able to provide a big boost just like he did in their first meeting earlier this year. With a loss, the committee might kick the Horned Frogs out of the Playoff so this is a huge game. The Wildcats want to prove to everyone that they are the best team in the Big-12 and have a massive chance to do that here today. I love KSU in this matchup, especially having seen TCU struggle this season with the easier games.

T.M. Prediction: 41-31 KState.

Line: +2.5

Line Parameter: play until PK. (can play ML..)

T.M. Selection: Utah Utes

I like the Utah Utes to win this game against the Southern California Trojans on Friday. While the season is nearing an end, both of these teams will look to show everyone what they are made of in this game. With a win, USC pretty much secures their spot in the CFB Playoff. However, this is the Utah team that has already beaten the Trojans earlier this season. Although USC has a better record and a more talented offense, the Utes are no joke either. Last years Pac-12 champs are hungrier than ever to regain their title this season. With a win, the Utes will prove to everyone that they deserve a huge bowl game. They will also knock the Trojans out of the playoff conversation. I expect Utah to be able to keep up with Southern California's offense, and for the defense to show that teams need defense in order to be considered great. +3.0 is a gift!

T.M. Prediction: 37-31 Utah

Line: +3.0

Line Parameter: play until +1.5

T.M. Selection: Buffalo Bills

I like the Buffalo Bills to win this game against the New England Patriots on Thursday Night. In the playoffs last year, which was the last time these two teams met, the Bills scored a touchdown on every single drive (except the last which saw victory formation.) Now I do not expect this game to be as easy, considering it's a huge divisional game for both, but I do expect Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs to have massive games once again. The Patriots come into this game off a loss against the Vikings. Although Mac Jones had a really good performance in that one, he's still thrown more INT's than TD's this season. Earlier this week, Josh Allen said, “Division games, you've got to win them.” With them having an 0-2 record in div games this season, expect them to turn it around in this one.

T.M. Prediction: 31-17 Bills

Line: -3.5

Line Parameter: play until -5.5

T.M. Selection: Washington

I like the Washington Huskies to win this game against the Washington State Cougars on Saturday. Although as it stands, the Huskies wouldn't make the Pac-12 championship game, but they still have a lot to play for. If Oregon State, who's at home, beats Oregon, the Huskies would just need to win this game and they'll be in. QB Michael Penix has been a man on a mission this season as he's thrown for 3869 yards with 26 TDs and just 6 INTs. Washington State, on the other hand, hasn't gotten the greatest of seasons from Cameron Ward. Solid, but not amazing. I expect this Apple Cup to be a shootout, but with the better team coming out on top.

T.M. Prediction: 38-30 Washington

Line: -1.5

Line Parameter: play until -2.5

T.M. Selection: Michigan

I like the Michigan Wolverines to win this game against the Ohio State Buckeyes on Saturday in “The Game." While both teams enter with a perfect 11-0 record, I am shocked to see that the Wolverines are the underdogs by this much. Last season when these two teams met, Michigan stole the show and won by 15 in a battle. This season, OSU have lost two top WR's and another one, in Jaxon Smith-Njigba will be probably sidelined once again this season. Blake Corum has been perhaps the best running back in the nation this year, and I expect him to have another ridiculous game here in this one. I wouldn't be surprised if either team wins this game, but getting +8.5 with a teams that's cruised past everyone all year, I'll take that any day of the year.

T.M. Prediction: 41-38 Michigan.

Line: +8.5

Line Parameter: play until +6.0

T.M. Selection: New York Giants

I like the New York Giants to cover the spread in this game against the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday. What a game we have here on Thanksgiving Thursday in the NFL. Two 7-3 divisional rivals will go at it in a huge game. The Giants may be dealing with many injuries, but when you have a healthy Saquon Barkley, you're always going to be dangerous. Dallas owns the 5th worst rushing defense in yards allowed this season, and they'll maybe be feeling slightly overconfident after completely destroying the Vikings last weekend. These teams met earlier this season when the Giants only lost by a touchdown. I expect them to keep it close once again and maybe even pull of the upset here in Week 12.

T.M. Prediction: 24-23 Cowboys.

Line: +9.0

Line Parameter: play until +7.5